early warning & monitoring systemsEarly warning and monitoring systems offer the most promising means to prevent conflict. But the concept of early warning is also frequently oversimplified through the attractiveness of its logic: if we knew about the imminent outbreak of violence, we would have taken steps to prevent it. No action is taken even in already violent conflicts; action is taken when there is no warning. The reasons for intervention are complex.

Early warning is a large field with many different actors and methodologies operating on different levels and with a wide range of issues. The sector is still facing many challenges: how do we link early response to early warning? How can we integrate the interests of decision makers into recommendations to ensure action? How do we balance the advantages of action and the interests of the decision makers? What cycles, thresholds or system understanding of conflict will make our system more effective and accurate?

Our Competencies

  • developing systems around capabilities and capacities to respond
  • integrating evaluation and impact methodologies into the early warning system
  • understanding critical perspectives and core challenges
  • promoting qualitative approaches to monitoring            
  • formulating relevant, practical recommendations for target groups